《信長之野望13：天道》連攜率計算

若5人隊某人出戰法，其他人等的連攜率分別是a、b、c、d，那么5連的幾率就是ABCD，無連攜的幾率是（1-a）（1-b）（1-c）（1-d）
假設5人連攜率同為X，那么

5連=x*x*x*x,                              4人連攜率為y                                                      
4連=x*x*x*(1-x)*4                     4連=y*y*y                       3人連攜率為z
3連=x*x*(1-x)*(1-x)*6               3連=y*y*(1-y)*3              3連=z*z
2連=x*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*4         2連=y*(1-y)*(1-y)*3        2連=z*(1-z)*2
不連=(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)*(1-x)      不連=(1-y)*(1-y)*(1-y)      不連=（1-z）*（1-z）

5S+鶴翼陣+軍神+霸王時（100%）  4S+鶴翼陣+軍神+霸王時（100%）     3S+鶴翼陣+軍神+霸王時（100%
5連幾率=1                                         4連=1                                                        3連=1
4連3連2連不連幾率=0                         其余=0                                                       其余=0

5A+鶴翼陣+軍神+霸王（90%）  4A+鶴翼陣+軍神+霸王（90%）                3人隊90% 
5連=0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9=0.6561         4連=0.729                             3連=0.81
4連=0.2916                                      3連=0.243                                2連=0.18
3連=0.0486                                      2連=0.027                            不連=0.01
2連=0.0036                                      不連=0.001
不連=0.0001

5S+鶴翼陣+軍神（80%）     4人隊80%                        3人隊80%
5連=0.4096               4連=0.512                       3連=0.64
4連=0.4096               3連=0.384                        2連=0.32
3連=0.1536              2連=0.096                       不連=0.04
2連=0.0256               不連=0.008     
不連=0.0016

5A+鶴翼陣+軍神（70%） 4人隊70%                  3人隊70&
5連=0.2401          4連=0.343                  3連=0.49
4連=0.4116           3連=0.441                  2連=0.42
3連=0.2646           2連=0.189                  不連=0.09
2連=0.0756           不連=0.027
不連=0.0081

5S+鶴翼陣（60%）        4人隊60%                        3人隊60%
5連=0.1296                4連=0.216                       3連=0.36
4連=0.3456                3連=0.432                       2連=0.48
3連=0.3456                 2連=0.288                       不連=0.16
2連=0.1536                 不連=0.064
不連=0.0256

5A+鶴翼陣（50%）      4人隊50%                   3人隊50%
5連=0.0625             4連=0.125                    3連=0.25
4連=0.2500              3連=0.375                     2連=0.50
3連=0.3750              2連=0.375                      不連=0.25
2連=0.2500              不連=0.125
不連=0.0625

5A+軍神（40%）      4人隊40%                       3人隊40%
5連=0.0256                  4連=0.064                         3連=0.16
4連=0.1536                  3連=0.288                         2連=0.48
3連=0.3456                 2連=0.432                          不連=0.36
2連=0.3456                 不連=0.216
不連=0.1296

5S（30%）             4人隊30%                          3人隊30%
5連=0.0081     4連=0.027                           3連=0.09
4連=0.0756     3連=0.189                            2連=0.42
3連=0.2646     2連=0.341                            不連=0.49
2連=0.4116      不連=0.443
不連=0.2401

5A（20%）        4人隊20%                  3人隊20%
5連=0.0016   4連=0.008                   3連=0.04
4連=0.0256    3連=0.096                     2連=0.32
3連=0.1536   2連=0.384                     不連=064
2連=0.4096    不連=0.512
不連=0.4096

以上，即為同適性部隊連攜率，等了好久都沒人發，我就勉力搞搞。

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